You and your 3 friends are playing a board game. It’s your turn to roll the die and to win the game you need a 5 on the dice. Now, is it possible that upon rolling the die you will get an exact 5? No, it is a matter of chance. We face multiple situations in real life where we have to take a chance or risk. Based on certain conditions, the chance of occurrence of a certain event can be easily predicted. In our day to day life, we are more familiar with the word ‘chance and probability’. In simple words, the chance of occurrence of a particular event is what we study in probability. In this article, we are going to discuss one of the types of probability called “Experimental Probability” in detail. Show
What is Probability?Probability, a branch of Math that deals with the likelihood of the occurrences of the given event. The probability values for the given experiment is usually defined between the range of numbers. The values lie between the numbers 0 and 1. The probability value cannot be a negative value. The basic rules such as addition, multiplication and complement rules are associated with the probability. Experimental Probability Vs Theoretical ProbabilityThere are two approaches to study probability:
What is Experimental Probability?Experimental probability, also known as Empirical probability, is based on actual experiments and adequate recordings of the happening of events. To determine the occurrence of any event, a series of actual experiments are conducted. Experiments which do not have a fixed result are known as random experiments. The outcome of such experiments is uncertain. Random experiments are repeated multiple times to determine their likelihood. An experiment is repeated a fixed number of times and each repetition is known as a trial. Mathematically, the formula for the experimental probability is defined by; Probability of an Event P(E) = Number of times an event occurs / Total number of trials. What is Theoretical Probability?In probability, the theoretical probability is used to find the probability of an event. Theoretical probability does not require any experiments to conduct. Instead of that, we should know about the situation to find the probability of an event occurring. Mathematically, the theoretical probability is described as the number of favourable outcomes divided by the number of possible outcomes. Probability of Event P(E) = No. of. Favourable outcomes/ No. of. Possible outcomes. Experimental Probability ExampleExample: You asked your 3 friends Shakshi, Shreya and Ravi to toss a fair coin 15 times each in a row and the outcome of this experiment is given as below:
Calculate the probability of occurrence of heads and tails. Solution: The experimental probability for the occurrence of heads and tails in this experiment can be calculated as: Experimental Probability of Occurrence of heads = Number of times head occurs/Number of times coin is tossed. Experimental Probability of Occurrence of tails = Number of times tails occurs/Number of times coin is tossed.
We observe that if the number of tosses of the coin increases then the probability of occurrence of heads or tails also approaches to 0.5. To know more about experimental probability and theoretical probability please download BYJU’S – The Learning App. Probability experiment:
Outcome:a possible result of a probability experiment. Event:
Sample space:
Probability of an event:
Theoretical probability:It is the likeliness of an event happening based on all the possible outcomes. The ratio for the probability of an event 'P' occurring is P (event) = number of favorable outcomes divided by number of possible outcomes. Geometric probability:
Experimental probability:
Independent events:
Dependent events:
Conditional probability:The conditional probability of an event B is the probability that the event will occur given the knowledge that an event A has already occurred. This probability is written P(B|A), notation for the probability of B given A. In the case where events A and B are independent (where event A has no effect on the probability of event B), the conditional probability of event B given event A is simply the probability of event B, that is P(B). Two-way table:these tables examine the relationships between the two categorical variables. Two-way frequency tables are especially important because they are often used to analyze survey results. Two-way frequency tables are also called contingency tables. Compound Event:
Overlapping Events:events that have one or more outcomes in common. Disjoint Events:Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time. Another word that means mutually exclusive is disjoint. If two events are disjoint, then the probability of them both occurring at the same time is 0. Mutually exclusive events:
Permutation:
N factorial:The factorial function (symbol: !) means to multiply a series of descending natural numbers. Examples:
Combination:
Binomial Theorem:
Random Variable:
Probability Distribution:n probability and statistics, a probability distribution assigns a probability to each measurable subset of the possible outcomes of a random experiment, survey, or procedure of statistical inference. Probability of the Complement of an Event:
Experimental Probabilities:
Probability of Dependent Events:
Finding Conditional Probabilities: Start with Multiplication Rule 2.Divide both sides of equation by P(A).Cancel P(A)s on right-hand side of equation.Commute the equation. We have derived the formula for conditional probability.Making Two-Way Tables:To fill in a two way table you use the information given and add and subtract to find the values. for example to find the total on the bottom you would subtract 600 from 300 giving you a total of 300 Probability of Compound Events:A mathematical term relating to the likeliness of two independent events occurring. The compound probability is equal to the probability of the first event multiplied by theprobability of the second event. Permutations:A permutation, also called an "arrangement number" or "order," is a rearrangement of the elements of an ordered list into a one-to-one correspondence with itself. The number of permutations on a set of elements Combinations:
Is how many times an event occurs divided by the total number of trials?The relative frequency of an event is defined as the number of times that the event occurs during experimental trials, divided by the total number of trials conducted. The relative frequency is not a theoretical quantity, but an experimental one.
What is the number of times an event occurs?The number of times an event occurs is known as the frequency of that event.
Is an event is the number of ways that an event can occur divided by the total number of outcomes?Theoretical Probability: Theoretical probability is given by the number of ways a specific event can occur divided by the total number of outcomes.
What term describes the number of times an event can happen in a given period of time?Frequency: The number of times an event can happen in a given period of time; often used in probability calculations.
|